Residents
Projected income

The projected-income schedule, by training stage and specialty.

Every physician mortgage article in Canada quotes $185,000 and $225,000. Almost none of them say where the numbers come from or what the rules around them are. This page does: the schedule, the specialty chart, the eligibility rules and the source, with dates.

Physician schedule as of
September 2023
Dental, vet, optometry as of
June 2026
Page updated
August 2026
Direct answer

Under the leading Canadian physician projected-income program, PGY-1 and PGY-2 residents and fellows qualify on $185,000, PGY-3 and later on $225,000, and final-year trainees plus physicians within 36 months of finishing on a specialty chart from $225,000 (family medicine) to $379,000 (ophthalmology). The figure is used only when your actual income is lower, student debt still counts in your ratios, and the minimum down payment is 10%.

The schedule

What each training stage qualifies on.

The stage is set by your year of postgraduate training, not your specialty, until the final year. Fellows follow the same ladder as residents.

StageWho it coversProjected incomeNote
PGY-1 to PGY-2First and second year residents and fellows$185,000Flat figure regardless of specialty.
PGY-3 and laterThird year and later residents and fellows$225,000Flat figure regardless of specialty until the final year.
Final year, or within 36 months of completionFinal-year residents and fellows, and physicians newly in practiceSpecialty chartSpecialty chart below. Unlisted specialties default to $225,000.
More than 36 months in practiceEstablished physiciansActual incomeProjected income no longer applies. Actual verified income is used.
Try it on your numbers

What that projected income actually qualifies you for.

Pick your stage, add the debt the lender will count, and see the purchase price the ratios allow. No email, nothing saved.

Training stage
$150,000
$50,000
Down payment
4.49%
Purchase price the ratios allow
$949,620
PGY-3 and later
Income the lender uses$225,000
Student debt counted (5.25% over 15 yrs)$1,602/mo
Qualifying rate (stress test)6.49%
Mortgage incl. 4.10% premium$889,699
Payment at 4.49%$4,919/mo
Buying power lost to student debt$96,340
Ratios 39% GDS and 44% TDS, property tax 0.75% of price, heating $100 a month, 25-year amortization insured or 30 uninsured. Illustration only, not a pre-approval. A real file adds credit history, the lender’s own program criteria, and any partner income.
Compare with what residents actually earn, by provinceFull affordability calculator with partner income and city taxes
Final year and new in practice

The specialty chart.

Applies in the final year of residency or fellowship and for 36 months after completion. Three specialties sit above the $300,000 line, family medicine and anything unlisted sit at $225,000.

SpecialtyProjected income
Ophthalmology$379,000
Cardiology$359,000
Gastroenterology$309,000
Anesthesiology$300,000
Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery$300,000
Clinical Immunology and Allergy$300,000
Critical Care Medicine$300,000
Dermatology$300,000
Diagnostic Radiology$300,000
Emergency Medicine$300,000
Endocrinology and Metabolism$300,000
General Internal Medicine$300,000
General Surgery$300,000
Geriatric Medicine$300,000
Hematology$300,000
Medical Genetics$300,000
Medical Microbiology$300,000
Medical Oncology$300,000
Nephrology$300,000
Neurology$300,000
Neurosurgery$300,000
Nuclear Medicine$300,000
Obstetrics and Gynecology$300,000
Occupational Medicine$300,000
Orthopedic Surgery$300,000
Otolaryngology (ENT)$300,000
Pediatrics$300,000
Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation$300,000
Plastic Surgery$300,000
Psychiatry$300,000
Public Health$300,000
Radiation Oncology$300,000
Respirology$300,000
Rheumatology$300,000
Urology$300,000
Other listed specialty$300,000
Family Medicine$225,000
Unlisted specialty (default)$225,000
The rules around the numbers

What decides whether projected income applies.

1
Projected income is a floor, not a bonus
The lender uses the projected figure only when your actual verified income is lower. Actual income must come from the medical field, and a file with zero income is not permitted.
2
Who qualifies
Residents and fellows enrolled in a Canadian program, and physicians within 36 months of completing training. Foreign-trained physicians who are citizens or permanent residents and hold a provincial licence get a similar window.
3
Student debt still counts
Student loans and your professional line of credit are included in your debt ratios even if they are not in repayment. The payment is calculated at the minimum qualifying rate over a 15-year amortization. Other student revolving credit counts at 1.5% of the balance per month.
4
Down payment
Insured: minimum 10% down, at least 5% from your own resources, the rest may be borrowed or gifted. Uninsured: 20% down, at least 10% from your own resources. Gifts from family are acceptable for any part.
5
What you can buy
Owner-occupied principal residence, one or two units. Purchases, refinances and switches. Rentals, second homes and business-for-self-plus files are excluded.
6
Amortization and insurance
Up to 25 years insured, 30 years uninsured. Insured files pay the program premium tiers, which are higher than standard CMHC tiers, not lower.
7
Documents
Enrollment confirmation showing specialty and year, or completion confirmation with the date, plus provincial college registration (CPSO in Ontario). A first-year resident whose college listing is not live before closing has an exception path.
Dentists, veterinarians, optometrists

The other projected-income program.

A separate program, with lower figures and a shorter window. Insured purchases still allow 10% down with 5% from your own resources. Uninsured purchases need 20% down with 15% from your own resources, and lending drops to 65% of value unless actual income is at least a quarter of the projected figure.

ProfessionProjected incomeEligible whenAlso
Dentistry (general and specialty)$175,000Final year of a Canadian DDS program, or newly practising within 24 monthsUninsured purchases: 80% financing only if actual income is at least 25% of projected, otherwise 65%.
Veterinary medicine$86,000Final year of a DVM program, or newly practising within 12 monthsSame uninsured rule as dentistry.
Optometry$96,000Final year at Waterloo or Universite de Montreal, or newly practising within 12 monthsGraduates of other optometry schools are not eligible under this program.
Questions

Straight answers.

What projected income does a PGY-1 resident qualify on in Canada?
Under the leading physician projected-income program, first and second year residents and fellows qualify on $185,000 of projected income. From PGY-3 the figure rises to $225,000. In the final year of training, and for 36 months after completing it, the figure comes from a specialty chart that runs from $225,000 for family medicine to $379,000 for ophthalmology.
Is projected income guaranteed, or does the lender check my real income?
It is not a guarantee and it is not a bonus. The lender verifies your actual income and uses the projected figure only when your actual income is lower. Actual income has to come from the medical field, and a file with zero income is not permitted.
Do I need a signed employment contract to use projected income?
No. For enrolled residents and fellows the program works from enrollment confirmation showing your specialty and year, plus provincial college registration. Newly practising physicians use completion confirmation with the date. A signed attending contract is a different qualification path, not a requirement for projected income.
Does my line of credit count against me if I am not paying it down?
Yes. Student loans and your professional line of credit are included in your debt ratios even if they are in deferral or interest-only. The payment is calculated at the minimum qualifying rate, currently 5.25%, over a 15-year amortization. On a $200,000 balance that is about $1,600 a month counted against you.
How long after residency does projected income apply?
For 36 months after completing residency or fellowship. After that the program no longer applies and you qualify on actual income, which for most physicians by then is higher than the projected figure anyway.
Do dentists, veterinarians and optometrists get projected income?
Yes, under a separate program. Dentistry projects $175,000, veterinary medicine $86,000 and optometry $96,000. Eligibility is the final year of the program or the first 24 months in practice for dentists and 12 months for veterinarians and optometrists. Optometry is limited to Waterloo and Universite de Montreal graduates.
Do physicians pay a lower mortgage insurance premium?
No. That is a US idea that does not apply in Canada. With less than 20% down the mortgage is insured, and the program premium tiers are higher than standard tiers: 3.10% at 80.01% to 85% loan to value and 4.10% at 85.01% to 90%, versus 2.80% and 3.10% standard.
Sources

Where the numbers come from.

Physician projected-income program factsheet
Program guidelines for residents, fellows and newly practising physicians. September 2023 edition, on file. Lender identity available on a call.
Edition date 2023-09-01
Dentist, veterinarian and optometrist projected-income program factsheet
Program guidelines for final-year students and newly practising professionals. June 2026 edition, on file. Lender identity available on a call.
Edition date 2026-06-01
Minimum qualifying rate and CMHC premium tiers
OSFI, minimum qualifying rate and CMHC, mortgage loan insurance cost. Standard tiers are quoted for comparison with the program tiers.

Prices and payment examples are estimates for planning only. Your actual numbers depend on income, down payment, debt, credit, location, and current lender pricing.

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